Investing and Analysis

Yet Another Indicator is Flashing a Warning Sign

Over the past few months I have brought a number of different market and economic indicators that are hitting levels not seen in decades. The 10-year bullish run in stocks is a historic one and it has investors wondering how much longer it can last. There was another indicator released last week that suggests investors should be cautious. The indicator ...

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Should Catastrophe Bond Holders be Nervous?

This is the world where high risk investors meet high risk insurance companies, and in recent years it has been a win-win scenario for both. This is an investment vehicle you probably won’t find on TDAmeritrade or the like, as it is beyond the risk/reward profile of all but the very well-funded and those who live on antacids during hurricane ...

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My Theory on the Trade Tensions and the Midterm Elections

Over the last couple of weeks, I have read several articles about the midterm elections and how they might impact the stock market. I have also been asked by friends what I thought would happen if the Democrats take control of Congress. I have seen articles that argue that if the Democrats take control of the House, it will increase ...

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Consumer Confidence and Investor Sentiment – Too High?

The latest Consumer Confidence report was released on August 28 and the index is reaching levels not seen since 2000. The index is broken down in to three parts—the present situation, expectations, and the total. The total reading jumped to 133.4 in August and that is the highest reading since October ’00. The present situation portion of the index jumped ...

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Commitment to Shorting FANG Stocks Increases, But It Isn’t A Sign of Increasing Pessimism

I have written several articles about the FANG stocks with the most recent one being one month ago. In that article I compared the earnings disappointments of Facebook and Netflix with the earnings disappointment from Microsoft back in April ’00. A recent Bloomberg article about the FANG stocks caught my eye because it talked about how short interest was increasing ...

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Iranian Navy Claims it Controls Strait of Hormuz

Iranian officials on Monday claimed they had full control of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz – an international waterway south of Iran that serves as a gateway for more than 40% of the world’s sea-traded oil. “We can ensure the security of the Persian Gulf and there is no need for the presence of aliens like the ...

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We Need More Business Leaders to Think Like Henry Ford

Reading and watching different things over the weekend, there were a number of stories about the S&P hitting a new all-time high. We are wrapping up another earnings season and corporate profits are at or near record highs. I also had friends and acquaintances talking about the market and pondering how long the market can keep going. Obviously I don’t ...

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