Investing and Analysis

Why Experts Predict a Crash Could Be Good for the Market

When I first entered the investment publishing industry it was with Schaeffer’s Investment Research in Cincinnati. That was in September 2000 and one of the first things that I learned was about using sentiment analysis as a major part of the overall analysis. I was already enamored with the market and had been studying and analyzing it for approximately 15 ...

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The S&P Beats a Key Trend Line, Sector Dispersion is Increasing

When the market reopened after the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, stocks jumped on the open Tuesday and that jump allowed the S&P 500 to move above a key potential resistance point. The index gapped higher and opened above its 52-week moving average. We see that the weekly stochastic indicators are closing in on overbought territory and the ...

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Retail Earnings Next Week – Expectations are Ugly

I am a big fan of the movie Moneyball. I’m a sports junkie and I love statistics, so the movie was right up my alley. One of the lines that stands out from that movie is when Billy Beane, played by Brad Pitt, is talking to his head scout. Beane utters three simple words, “Adapt or die.” Those same words ...

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Tesla Stock on the Rise

Tesla stock continues to show an increase over March levels. Although the stock took a dip in sales in China of 64%, sales in the United States rose by 9.8% and are still holding well. In spite of a political battle with local officials, resulting in Elon Musk promising to move his manufacturing of the Tesla vehicles out of state, ...

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Income Investors are Getting Hit from All Sides

The last few years have been tough on income investors. Many income-oriented portfolios use the 10-year treasury has the foundation and then build around that with other income producing investments. The yield on the 10-year treasury has been trending lower for the last 20 years, but it has really plunged in the last two years. We see on this chart ...

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Some Winners Emerging from Stay-At-Home Economy

As the earnings season has kicked off we are starting to see some companies that are benefitting from the new economy and the stay-at-home orders issued by governments around the world. These companies aren’t benefitting from the pandemic in an unscrupulous way, but rather their business models have benefitted from people being home more or working from home. Some of ...

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Negative Oil Prices, $3,000 Target on Gold, and the 104-Week Moving Average for the S&P

There have been a number of things I have said and seen in the last few months that I would have never thought would happen in my lifetime—worrying about a toilet paper shortage in the U.S., markers on the floors of stores to measure where to stand, etc. The latest on the list is negative prices in oil futures. At ...

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Chip Sector Facing Challenges and Uncertainty This Earnings Season

Last week I wrote an article about big bank stocks kicking off earnings season and how most of the banks had seen the consensus estimates get cut over the last three months. Another industry will step into the spotlight starting this Thursday and that is the semiconductor industry. Like the banking industry and most industries, the semiconductor industry is facing ...

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S&P Approaching First Potential Resistance After Big Rally

There has been a lot of talk on the financial news networks about v-shaped bottoms and u-shaped bottoms, but I finally heard one gentleman describe it in the manner that I see the market recovering. A guest on Bloomberg this morning said he saw it being more of a checkmark shaped recovery. I had thought that very same thing just ...

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Oil Prices Rise on Hopes of Reduced Output

President Trump announced today that he had talked with Putin and the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia and said that they agreed to cut back on oil production. Both of them consented to a reduction of a 10-million barrel cut per day. This amount of oil is equal to 10 percent of the global supply. The cuts could go as ...

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