Investing and Analysis

Life, Poker, and Investing: It’s All About Probabilities

Over the last few nights, I have been watching the World Series of Poker on ESPN. I enjoy playing poker and have for a long time. My grandfather first taught me how to play when I was in kindergarten. He was visiting us from Virginia and when I got home around noon from morning kindergarten, it was just the two ...

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New Recession Indicator Trips Alarm

Monday night I heard of a recession indicator that I had never heard of before and it just triggered the first recession alarm. The indicator is the spread between the Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Index Option Adjusted Spread and the Fed Funds rate. Let me state that I learned of this indicator late Monday night/early Tuesday ...

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Where to Invest Cash in Times of Tariffs

The million dollar question for investors trying to navigate the trade waters is where to place their cash to safely sail through this storm. Wall Street has been sifting through the typical safe havens, as spat after spat of trade wars began this spring. We first have to examine the current economic climate to see what makes sense. It happens ...

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Has the Emerging Market Selloff Run Its Course?

Since the trade disputes started in January, emerging market indices have been getting hit pretty hard and haven’t gotten the bounce back rallies the more developed markets have seen. The selling stems from a stronger dollar and the concern that less trade will hamper the emerging economies. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE: EEM) has dropped from the $52 ...

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Second Quarter Index and Sector Recap

Friday marked the end of the second quarter and the half-way point of the year. With that in mind, we thought it would be worth looking at the index and sector performance from the second quarter and the first half of the year as well. After a very choppy and back and forth first quarter, the second quarter saw more ...

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GE’s Demise: Unsustainable Business Model or Changing Times?

When I saw the news that General Electric (NYSE: GE) would be replaced in the Dow Jones Industrial Average by Walgreen’s Boots Alliance (NYSE: WBA), it made me think about how much GE has fallen in the last 17 years. Not just how much the stock price has fallen, but in terms of the importance of the company and the ...

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Housing Industry In The Spotlight This Week

The week ahead is pretty light on economic reports, but there are a few that will be closely watched. A number of the reports that are due out involve the housing industry. We are scheduled to see six different housing industry reports during the week including housing starts and existing home sales for May. Of the reports that have analyst ...

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Huge Week for Central Bank Activity

The historic summit between President Trump and North Korea’s Kim Jung Un in Singapore is going to garner a great deal of attention in the next few days. While it will definitely have an impact on financial markets around the world, don’t forget about the Fed meeting that concludes with a rate decision on Wednesday. In addition to the Fed ...

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